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Another Memorial for the Day

On this Memorial Day, in addition to all of those who served and died in our nation’s wars, there is one warrior of our oldest ally who should be given her due. May 30, 2021 is the 590th anniversary of the execution of a prisoner of war: France’s Jeanne d’Arc, known by English speakers as Joan of Arc.

On one of our trips to France we visited the city of Rouen, capital of Normandy Province. During the 14th and 15th Centuries series of wars between England and France Normandy was under English control. During the latter phase of those wars, Joan, as a young woman, assisted in leading French armies to victories. She was betrayed and captured by English allies, and taken to Rouen where she was condemned to death by burning at the stake.

There is an eponymous church in the Vieux Marche (Old Marketplace) at the site of Joan’s execution. There is also a museum that depicts here life and death in the former archbishop’s palace adjoining the Rouen cathedral. It is a most interesting and informative museum and well worth a visit.

There are many historical accounts of Joan’s story, which is too long to tell in detail here. Suffice it to say her fate was a result of the mix of politics and religion, where the church acts as the handmaiden of the state, and vice-versa. Here is a brief summary.

For reasons going back to the Norman Conquest, English monarchs claimed territory in France as part of their realm, and even claimed to be the rightful king of France. In the 14rh Century these claims led to a war that, on and off, lasted for about one hundred years.

Joan was the daughter of a farmer in eastern France. In her late teens, she believed she had a mission, guided by saints’ voices to rally the French armies to expel the English from France. Joan convinced the uncrowned king of France, Charles VII, to allow her to lead his army and escort him to Reims to be crowned in the traditional cathedral, and thus claim legitimacy as the French monarch. After several victorious battles, most notably at Orleans, Charles was able to travel with Joan to Reims and was crowned in July 1429. The next year, Joan was captured by English allies and taken to Rouen. There she was accused of heresy and being an agent of the devil and tried by a church tribunal and convicted. Joan, then 19, was burned at the stake in May 30, 1431.

In 1456, after the English had been finally expelled from most of France, including Normandy, another tribunal was empaneled and it exonerated Joan. The Pope declared her innocent and a martyr — a little late for her, of course. She was declared a national symbol of France by Napoleon Bonaparte in 1803. Joan was canonized as a saint by the Catholic Church in 1920.

Why was Joan of Arc tried and executed as a heretic, rather than just treated as a prisoner of war? Her status as a captive might be irrelevant; in those days most opposing soldiers captured were quite often summarily killed. The reasons seem to be twofold. First, the English pride was wounded by whom they doubtless considered a mere slip of a teenage girl, and a peasant at that. How could such a young person, a woman, lead an army that defeated them? She had to be a witch, or other agent of the devil. Second, the presiding judge Bishop Pierre Cauchon, though French, was a collaborator who wished to remain in favor with the English occupiers of Normandy. He did their bidding.

There have been s a number of revisionist attempts to discredit the Joan of Arc story as a myth. There are, however, contemporaneous documents, including transcripts of her trials that verify most of the facts.

Regardless, Joan’s story is compelling. Throughout subsequent French history she has been used by all political factions, including both sides of the 1789 Revolution, as a symbol of the righteousness of their causes.

Some sources.

Essay by Tim White https://theobjectivestandard.com/2019/05/joan-of-arc-heroine-of-france-exemplar-of-courage/

Régine Pernoud, Marie-Véronique Clin, Joan of Arc: Her Story. (1999). Translated by Jeremy duQuesnay Adams, late distinguished professor at Southern Methodist University, Dallas. (available from online booksellers and at libraries)

Shortly after her canonization, George Bernard Shaw, wrote a play Saint Joan. There have been a number of films made about Joan of Arc. Most take a good deal of dramatic license, as does Shaw’s play.

Here is a recent performance of Leonard Cohen’s rather haunting song “Joan of Arc,” sung live by Jennifer Warnes https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DaqRwj1mmU8

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Doom?

Many readers of this blog are familiar with Niall Ferguson. For those who are not, he is a historian who originally hails from Scotland, was educated at Oxford, a professor at Harvard, and now a Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution. Ferguson has written many histories, among them The Ascent of Money, Civilization, and Empire: How Britain Made the Modern World. The latter infuriated the British and American academic politburo for his thesis that British, and other European imperial colonization throughout the world was, on balance, a positive and a benefit to all, including the then indigenous people and their descendants.

Ferguson now has a new opus, to be released today, titled Doom: The Politics of Catastrophe. The book is reported to chronicle catastrophic events and the human response to them throughout history, beginning with the eruption of Mount Vesuvius and the destruction of Pompeii in 79 A.D. The most recent event of Ferguson’s interest is the current Covid-19 pandemic, which he discusses in part in “How a More Resilient America Beat a Midcentury Pandemic” published this past Saturday in the Wall Street Journal (May 1, 2021, Review Section).

Ferguson compares and contrasts Covid 19, not with the century old influenza pandemic of 1919 fashionable among observers today, but with an epidemic of “Asian” or “Hong Kong” flu in 1957. That disease became virulent in June of that year and infected a large number of persons throughout the country, interestingly, mostly young persons. The summer of that year was between my six and seventh grades, but I don’t recall anything about the pandemic. Here in Dallas, that was the year of a particularly destructive tornado. Also, the Soviet Union launched the first successful man-made satellite Sputnik.

Here are some of Ferguson’s observations and theories, with comment.

He believes the 1957-58 flu pandemic is important to be studied “not just because the public health threat was a closer match to our own but because American society at the time was better prepared—culturally, institutionally and politically—to deal with it.”

There is some reason to believe this statement about the better preparation is correct. He writes on:

“A striking contrast between 1957 and the present is that Americans today appear to have a much lower tolerance for risk than their grandparents and great-grandparents.” “… ‘there was nothing unusual about finding yourself threatened by contagious disease. Mumps, measles, chicken pox and German measles swept through entire schools and towns…’ “

That the United States was more culturally homogenous in the 1950s than today seems correct. The fact remains that it was mostly reflective of the values to those who had the most influence. Those who went through the Great Depression and won World War II had enormous regard. Whatever other values one might have had around then, the virtue of “suck it up and soldier on” through adversity was strong.

“Compare these stoical attitudes with the strange political bifurcation of reactions we saw last year, with Democrats embracing drastic restrictions on social and economic activity, while many Republicans acted as if the virus was a hoax. Perhaps a society with a stronger fabric of family life, community life and church life was better equipped to withstand the anguish of untimely deaths than a society that has, in so many ways, come apart.”

Accordingly,“[t]he policy response of President Dwight Eisenhower could hardly have been more different from the response of 2020. Eisenhower did not declare a state of emergency. There were no state lockdowns and, despite the first wave of teenage illness, no school closures. Sick students simply stayed at home, as they usually did. Work continued more or less uninterrupted.”

Of course, the ever popular Eisenhower had just won a second term as President, rather than facing an election that had most of the current power structure of the nation hell-bent on removing him. Also, Ike had been a soldier in two wars and was well aware of personal hardship and the capacity of Americans to bear it.

“A further contrast between 1957 and 2020 is that the competence of government would appear to have diminished even as its size has expanded.”

Vaccines for the 1957 Asian flu were developed and distributed within four months.

Ferguson has that right. In the number of government employees, federal, state and local, its size has increased three-fold. There is little question that the cost of development of new pharmaceuticals is significantly increased by the sclerotic approval process of the FDA and other agencies. Safety and effectiveness of drugs are important, but so much bureaucratic posturing and turf-protection slows down the production of new medicines. If Trump did anything right in response to the pandemic, using the his executive power to fast-track vaccine development heads the list.

Ferguson also discusses the important difference between 1957 and today in the communications structure in America and the rest of the world. He focuses mainly on the availability of technology that allowed virtual working from home. That, of course, was unavailable in 1957. There was no Internet, and 25% of the population did not even have land-line telephones. One went to the physical workplace or did not work at all. Consequently, although Ferguson points out that there was a mild recession that year, it was not a result of the flu pandemic. More to the point, the absence of a 24/7 news cycle from multiple outlets, smart phones, and social media that allows instant communication among millions, limited awareness of the pandemic by the general population in 1957. Today, tweets, emails, and text messages, often conveying incomplete, erroneous, and contradictory messages induced a certain cyber-hysteria among the population, especially younger persons, the group least at-risk.

Speaking of younger persons, Ferguson, beginning with an anonymous quote, says “‘To be young was very heaven’ in 1957—even with a serious risk of infectious disease (and not just flu; there was also polio and much else). By contrast, to be young in 2020 was—for most American teenagers—rather hellish. Stuck indoors, struggling to concentrate on ‘distance learning’ with irritable parents working from home in the next room, young
people experienced at best frustration and at worst mental illness.” The downstream effects of that phenomenon may not be pretty.

What also remains to be seen is a historical assessment as to whether the 2020-21 reaction to the coronavirus pandemic was excessive, or inadequate. Unfortunately that assessment, like most histories, will be made by the winners, and will be seen primarily through a partisan lens.

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The Week that Was

“That Was the Week that Was” was a satirical television show that began in Britain in 1962 and then had a run here in an Americanized version for around 20 years. This essay is not trying to be satirical except, possibly, toward the end.

The most visible event during the past week was the conviction of a former Minneapolis police officer for murder and manslaughter by the use of excessive and unreasonable force; that is, by kneeling on an arrested person for a time long after the suspect apparently ceased to be resisting arrest. The former officer, whose name is Derek Chauvin was found guilty of three charges: second degree murder, third degree murder and second degree manslaughter. Under Minnesota law, it appears he could be sentenced for consecutive terms to more than 100 years in prison. That probably will not happen, but he will doubtless receive a substantial sentence.

It could be reversed on appeal, but probably will not be, at least not in its entirety. Jury verdicts are resolution of factual disputes in the context of law given by the court; that is, the presiding judge in the case. A fact finder — the jury — is given a lot of deference, and its decision is overturned only if the judge made an error of law in the jury’s instructions, the verdict is unsupported by relevant evidence, or the trial was manifestly unfair.

Regarding the first two counts charged, the legal definition of “murder” has different nuances throughout the 50 states and in federal jurisdiction, but all appear to involve some degree of intent to kill or do an act that is substantially certain to result in death. What is called at common-law “felony murder” does not require that intent, but deems it murder if the death is caused by a perpetrator or accomplice in the course of committing a felony, for example, burglary, robbery, or, perhaps, an aggravated assault. Manslaughter involves the mental state of recklessness; i.e., conduct that involves an act that is unjustified and is consciously committed when it creates substantial risk of harm.

Based on what we know, it is possible that the facts and circumstances submitted to the jury would support a manslaughter conviction. There does not seem to be any evidence that Chauvin intended to kill his prisoner. While aggravated assault, if charged as a felony, might support a “felony murder” conviction, in this case, that might be a stretch.

Not having watched the entire trial we should not second-guess the jury. That is for the appeals court, and they usually loathe doing so. Even then, so much depends on the correctness of the jury instructions.

What appears to be the most troubling, and best ground for appeal, is the failure of the trial court to move the location of the trial in the face of pretrial publicity, the perceived necessity of essentially fortifying the courthouse, and the presence of a mob outside during the trial. In the 1966 case of Sheppard vs. Maxwell, the U. S. Supreme Court overturned the Ohio conviction of Dr. Samuel Sheppard for murdering his wife.(1) The Court cited that conducting the proceedings and atmosphere in such high charged atmosphere deprived the defendant of a fair trial.

The atmosphere in Minneapolis, far worse than that surrounding the Sheppard trial (which occurred decades pre-Internet and before even broadcast television became ubiquitous) together with the court’s refusal to grant a mistrial after a U. S. Congresswoman loudly demanded a conviction and the President of the United States echoed her demand, could be serious grounds for a reversal new trial in a different venue. Even the judge opined that this could be a point on appeal.

Then there is the concept of “harmless error” in appellate jurisprudence. The appeals court could decide that there was an error by the trial court, but the error could not have changed the outcome. The harmless error doctrine does not apply, however, where substantial rights of the defendant have been violated.

The only definite statement as to what happens next, is: We will see.

Subsequent to the Chauvin trial verdict, the Associate Press, repeated in The Dallas Morning News under a headline declaring “Police killings unabated after Chauvin case” reported five cases of police killing suspects throughout Texas, Massachusetts, North Carolina, California, and Ohio.(3) Based on the facts reported, which are probably incomplete, the deadly force used in those cases was justifiable and necessary.

The case that received the most publicity was the Columbus, Ohio police officer, who undoubtably saved a young woman from death or serious bodily injury. According to video and bystander statements, a teenage girl wielding a knife was about to stab another when the officer shot and killed her. The incident brought screeches from the usual suspects about brutality and “systemic racism” (both the perpetrator and the intended victim happened to be black).(4) The idiotic reaction and inane statements, one from the Speaker of the U. S. House of Representatives no less, were mind boggling. No sane person disputes that knives are deadly weapons, and can cause terrible and permanent injuries. That officer deserves a medal for quick action to save a life in a chaotic situation. He had to use force that was in fact deadly take an unjust aggressor’s life to do so. Anyone who believes differently is a fool or has evil premises.

On a different, but related subject, the Beatles were certainly prescient about our current President;
He’s a real nowhere man
Sitting in his nowhere land (except for his basement equivalent in the White House)
Making all his nowhere plans for nobody (other than his puppet-masters)
Doesn’t have a point of view (unless it’s woke)
Knows not where he’s going to (or where he is most of the time)
Isn’t he a bit like you and me? (Certainly like most of the left-coast country)

Endnotes

(1) 384 U.S. 333 (1966), the case that made F. Lee Bailey famous. The Sheppard saga spawned the television series (and later big-screen production) The Fugitive.

(2) While the 1970 trial of Charles Manson and three of his acolytes was in progress, then President Nixon publicly declared Manson to be guilty. The defense motion for mistrial was denied. In that case, however, the jury was sequestered for the entire trial, and cellular telephone were unheard of.

(3) DMN 4/25/2021, p. 6A. (print edition); various websites.

(4) See previous post https://bobreagan13.com/2020/09/28/systemic-racism/

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Hier stehe Ich. Ich kann nicht anders.

Hier stehe ich. Ich kann nicht anders. Gott helfe mir.” The title of this essay in English is “Here I stand. I can do no other. God help me.” It is probably apocryphal, shorthand for what Martin Luther actually said. (Endnote1) No matter. It captures the essence of what he did and stood for. Luther’s defiance of the church hierarchy and the empire of Charles V at the Diet of Worms (Endnote 2) April 1521 was the act that changed the course of Western Civilization.(Endnote 3)

Many regard the posting of Luther’s 95 Theses three an one-half years earlier as the beginning event of the Reformation. As related earlier on the site, and in numerous writings, posting of issues — theses — by theologians and other thinkers was the ususal method of seeking a public debate on those issues. It was unremarkable. What was remarkable was what was to come.

To recount the events following Luther’s posting, Johann Tetzel wasted little time defending his activities with counter-theses. Luther’s initial post had its intended effect, Debate among theologians occurred through the coming months and years. Pope Leo X summoned Luther to appear in Rome in July 1518. Prince Frederick III, Elector of Saxony, who found political advantage in backing Luther, intervened and convinced the Pope to let Luther appear in Germany.

In June 1520, Pope Leo X issued a Papal bull outlining forty-one purported errors found in Martin Luther’s Ninety-five Theses and other writings. Luther was summoned by the Emperor Charles V to appear at the Imperial Diet held at Worms in April 1521. Frederick obtained an agreement that if Luther appeared he would be promised safe passage to and from the meeting. Frederick and Luther doubtless had in mind Jan Hus, who was tried and executed at the Council of Constance in 1415 despite a promise of safe conduct.

Emperor Charles opened the Diet of Worms in late January 1521. On April 16, Luther arrived in Worms. He was told to appear before the Diet in the afternoon of 4:00 p.m. the following day. He actually had a lawyer, a Wittenberg professor in Canon Law, with him at the Diet.

On April 17, the imperial marshal came for Luther. The marshal reminded Luther that he should speak only in answer to direct questions from the presiding officer, Johann von Eck. Eck asked if a collection of books was Luther’s and if he was ready to revoke their heresies. There were 25 of them, probably including the 95 Theses, Resolutions Concerning the 95 Theses, On the Papacy at Rome, Address to the Christian Nobility, The Babylonian Captivity of the Church, and On the Freedom of a Christian. Luther requested more time for a proper answer, so he was given until the same time next day.

On April 18, Luther, saying that he had prayed for long hours and consulted with friends and mediators, appeared before the Diet. When the counselor put the same questions to him, then Luther answered, “They are all mine, but as for the second question, they are not all of one sort.” Luther went on to place the writings into three categories: (1) Works which were well received even by his enemies: those he would not reject. (2) Books which attacked the abuses, lies and desolation of the Christian world and the papacy: those, Luther believed, could not safely be rejected without encouraging abuses to continue. To retract them would be to open the door to further oppression. “If I now recant these, then, I would be doing nothing but strengthening tyranny.” (3) Attacks on individuals: he apologized for the harsh tone of these writings but did not reject the substance of what he taught in them; if he could be shown by Scripture that his writings were in error, he would reject them. (Endnote 4)

On a theological level, Luther had challenged the absolute authority of the Pope over the Church by maintaining that the doctrine of indulgences, as authorized and taught by the Pope, was wrong. He maintained that salvation was by faith alone (sola fide) without reference to good works, alms, penance, or the Church’s sacraments. Luther maintained that the sacraments were a “means of grace,” meaning that while grace was imparted through the Sacraments, the credit for the action belonged to God and not to the individual. He had also challenged the authority of the Church by maintaining that all doctrines of the Church not found in Scripture should be discarded.

As a result of Luther’s failure to recant Emperor Charles issued the Edict of Worms on May 25, 1521, declaring Luther to be an obstinate heretic and banned the reading or possession of his writings. The Edict also authorized Luther’s arrest and a reward for those helped capture him.

Fortunately for Luther, Elector Frederick helped Luther to avoid arrest and secreted him at Frederick’s castle in Thuringia for several months. There Luther continued to write and translate the New Testament into German.

Though a brave act by an individual, Luther would not have been able to get away and the Reformation would have doubtless proceeded on a different course had not Elector Frederick and other German princes not believed it was in their interest to support him. The Margrave (Elector) of Brandenburg was an early convert to Lutheranism, and many other princes and burghers of the free cities, mostly in the north of Germany, followed. The clerics and common subjects of these principalities also supported Luther. Furthermore, the ongoing tension with the Habsburgs, exacerbated by Charles V’s grandiose schemes to extend his power, contributed to the princes’ support of Luther.

As we learned here in America’s Watergate episode, one must also follow the money. The German princes, as well as the commercial and financial class in Germany, were sick and tired of supporting the opulence and corruption of the Papacy and its retinue in Italy. Luther gave them a reason to break with Rome.

Across Europe, the effect of Luther, and the German princes who supported him, gave rise to other breaks with Rome and the Papacy. In Switzerland, whose people were always distrustful of the Habsburgs, John Calvin was able to actually found a theocracy of his own. Most famously, Henry VIII in England, who initially criticized Luther, led the Church of England out of the Catholic orbit. (Endnote 5)

Domestic fury and fierce civil strife beset Germany for several decades after the Diet of Worms. Though Europe, as well as the rest of the world, had never been free of war for very long, the Reformation intensified conflict. The emperors, kings, and other potentates used the church as one means of social control to preserve their power. Accordingly, preservation of religious beliefs was a powerful motivator for them to keep that power. It was also a significant recruitment tool to raise armies. (Endnote 6)

Finally, Emperor Charles settled his differences with the German Lutheran princes and signed the Peace of Augsburg in 1555. This treaty ended for a time the religious struggle, at least in Germany, and established the right of each ruler of a principality to chose Catholicism or Lutheranism as their official religion. This arrangement was bound to collapse, and did in the early 17th Century. The collapse precipitated the Thirty Years War (1618 – 1648) that was proportionately more devastating for Germany than World War II.

What did not fail was that more and more thinkers began to explore, and write and otherwise express new ideas without fear of being burned at the stake for heresy. The Enlightenment and the scientific revolution followed, and later the Industrial Revolution. Within a few centuries, the world was no longer lit only by fire, but merely by the flip of a switch. (Endnote 7)

Endnotes

  1. This quote is from Daten zur Geschichte der Stadt Worms, from the Stadtarchiv Worms, Margit Rinker-Olbrisch at http://www.worms.de/downloads/Chronik.pdf
  2. A Dieta Imperii was a council called from time to time by the Holy Roman Emperor whose members were the princes, prelates, and burghers of the Empire. The Holy Roman Empire was, in Voltaire’s words, neither holy, nor Roman, nor an empire. The Diet had no real power — most was held by the numerous princes and other local land rulers and free cities. Such as it had really was exercised by the Emperor. The German title for the 1521 Diet was Reichstag vom Worms.
  3. Eric Mataxas, Martin Luther, (Viking 2017), p. 246.
  4. There are a number of versions of Luther’s statement, but the title of this essay fairly sums up his meaning and intent. See Will Durant, The Reformation, (Simon & Schuster 1957) p. 361, fn.
  5. In the same year, Pope Leo X conferred the title “Defender of the Faith” on Henry for the king’s tract in opposition to some of Luther’s ideas. In addition to Henry’s famous later break with Rome over his wish to divorce Queen Catherine, his motivation was also money. Henry had depleted the treasury by his many foreign conflicts and adventures, and found the monasteries in England to be treasure-troves to loot. (Pope Paul III revoked the title, but it was permanently conferred on English, later British, monarchs by Parliament.)
  6. “All wars are sacred, to those who have to fight them. If the people who started wars didn’t make them sacred, who would be foolish enough to fight…sometimes it’s ‘Down with Popery’….” — Margaret Mitchell, Gone with the Wind, p.231, (Macmillian 1936).
  7. A World Lit Only by Fire, William Manchester (Little, Brown 1992)
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Chill, everybody

It is snowing in North Texas and the temperature is in the low twenties (Fahrenheit) this morning as this is written. More of the same and in larger quantities is expected along with possible single digit temperatures. And the Senate did not convict Donald Trump.

This very cold weather is bound to give the climate change/global warming paranoiacs another event to hang their collective hat upon. Spending the past fifty years around here, I recall a number of events of extreme summer heat, persistent droughts that ended with huge floods, and severe winters, that appeared sporadically in our region. Interestingly, today’s newspaper mentioned that “The measuring stick for cold outbreaks is arguably 1983. The DFW temperature was at or below freezing for 295 consecutive hours from Dec. 18, through the 30 [sic].” It also reported that the record high for the day was 84 in 1918, and record low was one degree in 1906. (Before my time, actually.)

I am not a “climate change denier” by any means. But my attitude is not to alter our lifestyles in a vain attempt to halt or reverse it. There are too many moving parts to the phenomenon, and humans are not going to move back into caves and forsake the comforts of modern technology. Mankind has dealt with adverse and harsh physical environments from time immemorial— from campfire and frond fans to central heat and air conditioning. The innovators will do so again.

There have been four Presidential impeachments, but no conviction and removals from office. They were all partisan ploys. The looming impeachment of Richard Nixon, which was aborted because he resigned the office, was arguably nonpartisan, which was why the result sought was obtained.

A number of Presidents were threatened with impeachment. These include the founders George Washington, John Adams, Thomas Jefferson, and James Madison. Andrew Jackson, arguably the most like Trump in temperament (and, together with Jefferson, were the Democratic Party’s patron saints until the woke movement deracinated them) was threatened, as was John Tyler, the first Vice-president to succeed to the Presidency. There were others. All fizzled in the early stages.

It was a forgone conclusion that Donald Trump would not be convicted. Why, then, did the Democrats in the House go to the trouble? One excuse was that they wanted to get a conviction to bar him from running again. But his return is remote anyway. What they really wanted was to spike the football. Revenge for taking away the ruling class’s power for four years.

The Trump second impeachment and trial recall a similar, though much bloodier, event three and one-half centuries ago. Oliver Cromwell, who had much in common with Trump, led an insurrection against the then ruling class of England headed by King Charles I. After a decade long actual, not metaphorical, civil war, Cromwell prevailed and chopped off Charles’ head in January 1649. Slightly more than ten years later, tired of the Cromwellian party’s rule in what was essentially a military dictatorship, the populace clamored for and received a Restoration of the monarchy, essentially the former ruling elite. The restored royalists went on a rampage against the Cromwell adherents, executing ringleaders who signed the kings death warrant (a few escaped to the North American colonies and elsewhere). Cromwell himself had died and was “out-of-office” as it were. Nevertheless, his corpse was exhumed, hanged, and his skull placed on a pike at London Bridge.

So then was Donald Trump’s impeachment and post incumbency trial an attempted cathartic moment for our quasi-royalists. The Trump Presidency is dead; their attempt to dismember and desecrate the corpse failed. They will doubtless attempt to select those of his entourage they believe worthy of being symbolically hanged, drawn, and quartered. Perhaps, they speculate, the rest can be left alone to enter the oblivion of irrelevancy. Good luck on that.

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Post Mortem?

Stolen election? No.

There may have been some fraud, but not enough to make a difference in the critical states. Unsolicited mail-in ballots doubtless invited fraud, and changing of voting rules in those states in reaction to Covid-19 gives cover to those who claim fraud. It is unfortunate that the, now former, President pushed that narrative too far.

Biden did not beat Donald Trump. The now former President actually beat himself with help from Covid-19. His acerbic personality on constant display turned off many who would have voted for him for his stance on the issues and accomplishments. A lot of voters cannot see beyond personality. Many vote against their interests because they do not like the messenger. Trump’s persona in many of his tweets was that of, to be blunt, a jerk. This is not to absolve his far-left opponents, who were usually worse in that regard.

But what now?

Donald Trump lost won, but he did not lose by a landslide. Despite what the New York Times and Dallas Morning News writers opine, the last election was hardly a Republican debacle. Quite the contrary, Biden did not have any coattails to pull other Democrat candidates for Congress and statehouses, quite the contrary. And he doesn’t have a mandate for widespread structural change, as many on his side would like. Pushing a radical agenda through the Congress will be difficult. For every Democrat who lost his/her seat in the House, there is one whose winning margin was close. And Bill Clinton and Obama both lost Congress in their first midterm. If this history is lost on Biden, it is not on the Representatives and Senators facing their constituents in 2022.

Even so, there’s a lot of mischief Biden can do, and has done, with his “pen and phone”quickly.

Unless Biden can persuade the Democrats’ leadership in Congress to halt the Trump impeachment, there is no way he is going to unify the country. Attempting to “remove” a President who the voters have already removed makes no sense, and amounts to political masturbation (in which our politicians engage on a daily basis — in their case it makes you wonder if it’s really only a myth that it makes one go blind). To the extent that Senate conviction would bar Trump from further office, that could work in favor of the Republicans by removing a candidate with a large following from consideration in 2024 in favor of one with similar policies, but who is less acerbic. Anyway, it is doubtful that Trump, or Biden for that matter, will run again next time. Age itself might not be an objective disqualification, but there is pressure from younger candidates and their constituents. (As an aside, the only incumbent who lost and later won a second term was Grover Cleveland in 1892.)

Biden’s executive orders cancelling the Keystone XL pipeline permit is sheer lunacy. Forget that transmission of crude petroleum is much safer in pipelines than by rail or truck (which are more dependent than pipelines on the stuff they are carrying). It is going to put tens of thousands out of work. That will be a big issue, and the workers who still remain Democrat voters won’t forget in 2022. Other environmental and climate-change paranoid policies could drive gasoline prices sky high. Perhaps Biden, who famously commuted on Amtrak between Delaware and the Capital and who has lived in the D.C. bubble for over four decades, doesn’t realize how much non woke Americans are in love with their cars. High prices and filling station lines doomed Jimmy Carter in 1980. In my city, gasoline prices have already jumped.

The promise of “Green New Deal” jobs is pure fantasy. If such jobs materialize, it will be years until they do. Workers have to pay their bills and feed their families today. All of this said, the only viable option for the production of the energy that modern life requires is nuclear, which Biden’s core supporters oppose as much as they do fossil fuels. Wind power is Fifth Century (B.C.) technology with Twenty-first Century lip-gloss. Sun power will be sufficient only if the Sahara Desert is carpeted with solar panels and an efficient method of long-range transmission is developed. Not ruling that out, but it is as remote as cold fusion.

One wonders if the woke crowd, living in their gated subdivisions where all the houses have black lives matter signs on the outside and white persons on the inside, or those residing in climate controlled condos, really want to revert to a hunter-gatherer society they romanticize. Perhaps so, if their could still have their smartphones and sushi.

That bunch, based on their malevolent Twitter feeds and contributions to the comments sections of Washington Post articles, are the remaining jerks.

As for the future, all that can be said is — we will see.

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Vice-Presidents; Removing the “Vice”

Throughout the 2020 Presidential election season there has been speculation that the election of Joe Biden was really a vehicle to place a true leftist into a position to become President. Biden’s age and the perception by some that he is in mental decline seems to make it likely he will not serve two terms for a total of eight years. If he does, would Kamala Harris, his vice-president, likely be poised to run and win in 2028, or if he bows out after one term, in 2024? Another possibility is that he would die in office (or become incompetent to function and the Twenty-Fifth Amendment procedure could be invoked to put Harris in the White House, temporarily or for the duration of Biden’s term).

It might be useful to look at Vice-Presidential succession during the past two centuries.

John Adams and Thomas Jefferson were the first two VPs who succeeded their President. But both were elected under the pre-Twelfth Amendment procedure where the candidate with the second highest number of Electoral votes was elected as VP.

Since then twelve Vice-Presidents have made it to the Presidency; Biden will be the thirteenth (unlucky?). Three were first elected in their own right: Martin Van Buren, Richard Nixon, and George H. W. Bush. Nine were “accidental” in that they succeeded Presidents whose terms were cut short, eight by death, Nixon by resignation.

Using the Vice-Presidency as a stepping-stone appears to be a recent phenomenon. One reason for this is that the only Constitutional duty the VP has, other than wait on the sidelines to step if the President dies, resigns, or is removed, is to preside over the Senate. Most candidates were chosen to “balance the ticket” or mollify factions. Until recently, Presidents mostly used their Vice for ceremonial or other feel-good purposes and had no interest in promoting their political prospects. Prior to 1960, Van Buren was the only VP who was nominated and elected to follow a President who completed his term(s). Several failed to follow their Presidents into the White House: Humphrey, Mondale, and Gore. Nixon failed to immediately follow Eisenhower, but was elected eight years later in 1968. George H. W. Bush was elected in 1988, immediately following Reagan’s two terms. Of the accidental Presidents, Theodore Roosevelt, Coolidge, Truman, and Lyndon Johnson were elected in their own right after finishing their President’s remaining term, The other five were not.

All this is to suggest that if Harris were to become our first woman President, it will probably be the result of Biden leaving office prior to the end of his term, first or second. Furthermore, dubbing her as “accidental” would not be appropriate. It cannot be lost on observers that Harris was selected by the Democrat Party precisely for that purpose. Of course, another benefit to Harris’ candidacy was to shore up support from the party’s left wing, who might have otherwise sat on their hands. She’s a three-fer: a committed leftist, is the right sex, and has the right complexion for the so-called woke crowd.

A year or so ago, I saw Nikki Haley speak in Dallas. Her presentation suggested to me that it was probable that she would be the first woman President. That possibility has not gone away. Perhaps sooner than we think, there will be two female nominees, each one the daughter of immigrants. That would be a hoot (and I would still bet on Haley). But like everything else in this brave and crazy new world, only time will tell.

Note: Dave Berry in a year-end column pointed out that Kamala Harris’ name is an anagram of “I alarm a shark”! Joe Biden is “I need job”!

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Best Comment on 2020

Dave Berry is always humorous, but this in one of his best.

Enjoy.

Dave Barry’s Year in Review 2020 – The Washington Post

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Perspectives on a Birthday

There are many descriptive word to describe this past year, some vulgar, some darkly humorous. It is not a time anyone would wish to repeat. Even the Christmas season has been spoiled to some extent. Nevertheless, celebrating the birth of the doubtless most consequential individual in human history should elate us. Not going to dwell on what Jesus of Nazareth, who was born in Bethlehem, now in the State of Israel, caused the next twenty and a quarter centuries to bring forth. There are numerous writings from all perspectives in that regard.

Several year ago I mentioned on this blog that Walter Russell Mead Bard, Bard College professor and editor at The American Interest, wrote interesting essays on his Yule Blog for each of the Twelve Days of Christmas Eve. I commend two of those essays to readers, and am certain that Mead’s others can be found and appreciated by those interested. These essays can be appreciated by nearly anyone irrespective of their religious belief. His Fourth and Fifth Day ones are at these links:

http://www.the-american-interest.com/wrm/2013/12/28/the-hinge-of-fate-2/

http://www.the-american-interest.com/wrm/2013/12/29/the-meaning-of-christmas-3/

God Jul

Craciun fericit

Wesolych Swiat

Linksmu Kaledu

Hyvää Joulua

Sretan Božic

Veselé Vánoce

Frohelich Weihnachten

Buon Natale

Joueux Noel

¡Feliz Navidad! (If you live in Texas and don’t know what this means, you reside in a cave.)

In other words, Merry Christmas (to all and to all a good night.)

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Kicking a Hornet’s Nest or is there a “Doctor” in the (White) House?

Talking about kicking a hornets’ nest. Saturday’s Wall Street Journal published an op-ed by long time contributor Joseph Epstein that criticized incoming first-lady Jill Biden’s use of the courtesy title/honorific  “doctor” or “Dr.” with her name.

The op-ed provoked a storm of on-lin comments. as of this morning almost 4,000, many of which would merit inclusion on public restroom walls. This morning, the WSJ  published some of the more respectful dissents. That newspaper also published a riposte by Paul Gigot, its editorial page editor, confirming the WSJ will not give in to the politically correct movement or cancel culture. That piece also brought on a storm of comment.

Here are the links
https://www.wsj.com/articles/is-there-a-doctor-in-the-white-house-not-if-you-need-an-m-d-11607727380?st=ioqq47uzqx6rpj9&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink

https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-biden-team-strikes-back-11607900812?st=i6ynwqh1smzft3c&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink

WOW!