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Guns and Distant Mirrors

The Library of America is a series of well-bound hardcover books, presently 222 volumes of writings – fiction, non-fiction, drama, poetry, documents – by American authors. It started with a grant from the Ford Foundation in 1982 and has added an average of 7 volumes each year since. I suppose that inclusion of one’s works in the series is a recognition of their eminent or at least important status among American authors.
The latest addition contains Barbara W. Tuchman’s The Guns of August (1962) and The Proud Tower (1966). These works are histories, published in 1962 and 1966 respectively, of the beginning of the First World War and a portrait of the world – the major western powers – during the quarter century leading up to the war. I first read the Proud Tower during my undergraduate studies, and The Guns during my military service in the late ‘60s (I read a lot then, as there was not much else to in rural Korea during winter evenings – no shooting at that particular time).
Tuchman wrote a number of other books on various historical eras and events, before and after the two republished in the Library this month. All are interesting and illuminating, as well as quite readable historical studies. They include The Zimmermann Telegram, which tells the tale of the German government’s clumsy attempt in 1917 to secure an alliance with Mexico should the U. S. enter the war on the side of Britain and France, and thus ensuring that America would; A Distant Mirror (1978), a chronicle of Western Europe – mainly England and France during the turbulent and transitional 14th Century; The March of Folly (1984) in which she compares and relates the series of flawed policies and intractable mis-steps of governing powers to the paradigm myth of ancient Troy. That volume are analyses of the Renaissance Popes’ policies that precipitate the Reformation, the policies of the British Crown and Parliament that lost the North American colonies, and acts of our government those that embroiled the United States in the Vietnam War. Tuchman’s earlier works included Bible and Sword, concerning the Middle East and Palestine up to the late 1930s, a book of monographs Practicing History, which contain essays about her historical method, and includes a narrative of the interesting incident of an American’s kidnapping by Berber bandits in Morocco which prompted President Theodore Roosevelt to issue his ultimatum “Perdicaris alive or Rasuli dead.”
Tuchman graduated from Radcliffe College in 1933 where she majored in history and literature (as I did). She published her first historical work in 1938, but wrote very little history in the 20 or so years after college, and never pursued a graduate degree. She worked as a journalist for awhile in the 1930s, having an entree into that occupation in that her father owned The Nation during that time. That her grandfather and uncle were Henry Morgenthau Senior (ambassador to Turkey under Wilson) and Junior (Secretary of the Treasury under FDR) probably didn’t hurt her career.
Tuchman’s insisted that her research and writing method was to seek detail from which she could formulate broad historical theories, rather than pick a theory and then seek evidence to support it, a method popular among revisionists. Tuchman believed one should look mainly to primary sources, newspapers, correspondence, diaries, public records, and the like, and to concentrate on the point of view of those individuals who were at the center of events or important to the period. Additionally, she maintained that it was important to use examples from the period’s culture – social, artistic, etc.– to better provide context. Consulting contemporaneous fiction and drama is important, not to cite for facts, but for attitudes and for leads to obscure occurrences.
For example, in The Proud Tower, she profiles U.S. House Speaker Thomas Reed, Britain’s last peer Prime Minister Lord Salisbury, German composer Richard Strauss, French socialist Jean Jaures, French officer Alfred Dreyfus, and others. In The Guns of August, she does the same for the participants, some, like Winston Churchill, known to us all, some not.
What was called the “Great War,” which some historians, myself included, regard as but the first phase of a conflict that lasted for nearly the rest of the 20th Century, affected the world in ways that are still with us. This is especially true in the current clash between Islamic civilization and essentially the rest of the word. Tuchman’s Proud Tower and Guns of August both go a long way in explaining how that war came to be. Now that both works are available in a single volume, it would be a good value to anyone interested. There is also a fine review by Bruce Cole in Saturday’s WSJ Weekend  (3/10/12) which can be accessed at this link.
Here are a couple of Barbara Tuchman quotes I consider apropos to our present turbulent time:
“Disaster is rarely as pervasive as it seems from recorded accounts. The fact of being on the record makes it appear continuous and ubiquitous whereas it is more likely to have been sporadic both in time and place. Besides, persistence of the normal is usually greater than the effect of the disturbance, as we know from our own times. After absorbing the news of today, one expects to face a world consisting entirely of strikes, crimes, power failures, broken water mains, stalled trains, school shutdowns, muggers, drug addicts, neo-Nazis, and rapists. The fact is that one can come home in the evening, on a lucky day, without having encountered more than one or two of these phenomena. This has led me to formulate Tuchman’s Law, as follows: ‘The fact of being reported multiplies the apparent extent of any deplorable development by five- to tenfold (or any figure the reader would care to supply).’” – From A Distant Mirror.
“Government remains the paramount area of folly because it is there that men seek power over others — only to lose it over themselves.” – From The March of Folly.
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Joe the Plumber: Who Would Have Thought?

Samuel “Joe the Plumber” Wurzelbacher captured the Republican nomination for Ohio’s ninth congressional district in yesterday’s primary. During the 2008 campaign Wurzelbacher famously sparred with then candidate Barack Obama over how the now President’s administration would affect small businesses, and took exception to the “spread the wealth” philosophy of Mr. Obama. In the same district, longtime Representative Dennis Kucinich lost to Representative Marcy Kaptur in the Democratic primary. The 2010 Census caused Ohio to lose Congressional seats and the Republican controlled legislature drew a district along Lake Erie from Cleveland to Toledo which forced to two incumbent Democrats to run against each other.
Kucinich has been an outlier and, many would say an oddball. In my more whimsical moments, I have been known to excuse my eccentricities by saying what do you expect from some who was born in the same Congressional District that Dennis Kucinich represents. Well, now there is a possibility that one who comes closer to being my soul mate will be the new Congressman there. I say possibility because Joe the Plumber is not favored, as the district was doubtless drawn to concentrate Democrats and remove them from GOP leaning districts. But that’s politics. Anyway, Wurzelbacher’s nomination shows how fifteen minutes of fame can propel one onto the national stage. Can’t vote for him – unless I move back to my native state and county. Probably not. Naturalized Texan I am and will remain. But I’ll be rooting for him, and maybe even send a donation. Good luck, Joe.
Joe the Plumber with Herman Cain

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The Cockroaches’ Nemesis

 Nothing like turning on lights to see the cockroaches scatter. That’s what Andrew Breitbart did in his relatively short 43 years. His exposure of the shenanigans of public officials and publicly funded organizations embodied the observation of paleo-progressive Louis Brandeis’ observation that sunlight is the best disinfectant. Breitbart took to heart that “the debate on public issues should be uninhibited, robust, and wide-open, and that it may well include vehement, caustic, and sometimes unpleasantly sharp attacks on government and public officials.” New York Times Co. v. Sullivan, 376 U.S. 254 (1964). In recent years he was instrumental in the extinction of ACORN, the resignation of Congressman Anthony Weiner, the shakeup of National Public Radio’s management, and the firing of Agriculture Department Georgia director Shirley Sherrod. He was an outspoken advocate for inclusion of gays and lesbians in libertarian-conservative politics with the organization GOProud. Not a bad resume for such a short life. I would wish that Breitbart rest in peace, but he would doubtless be bored.

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Texas Independence Day

At a time when men and women were besieged at the Alamo by the self-styled “Napoleon of the West,” the Texas Declaration of Independence was signed at Washington-on-the-Brazos.
The Alamo fell a few days later, but the world was stunned as Sam Houston’s army defeated the dictator Santa Anna less than two months later.
Houston, who coincidentally had been born on the same day of the month the Declaration was signed, later served as president of Texas and as governor when it became a state. On his statue in Huntsville, which can be seen for miles on IH45 these words can be found:
“Govern wisely, and as little as possible.” We still try to do that here, unlike most parts of the world.
Happy Birthday to Texas and to Sam Houston!
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The First Queen – Sex in History

“Good, good Louis; if I’d managed sons for him instead of all those little girls, I’d still be stuck with being Queen of France and we should not have known each other. Such, my angels, is the role of sex in history.”
    – Queen Eleanor in James Goldman’s drama The Lion in Winter.
It is a matter of speculation whether the real Eleanor of Aquitaine ever uttered these words – if she did, they would have been in French – but they succinctly state a historical truth.
In this year of Queen Elizabeth’s Diamond Jubilee, it seems a fitting exercise to look at the other reigning Queens of England and Great Britain. I say reigning queens, because, as a matter of form the wife of every king is a queen, called “queen consort,” which is a title entirely derivative. So these essays concern those women who were queen in their own right. There have been six, seven, or eight, depending on whether the listing historian chooses to recognize one two of them.

The first and most questionable Queen regnant was Matilda (or Maud, in the old English form) in the 12th Century. Matilda was the granddaughter of William the Conqueror and the only surviving legitimate child of the first King Henry, whose son William died when the White Ship sank in the English Channel in 1120. Matilda had been married at an early age to the Holy Roman Emperor Henry V, thus receiving the appellation of Empress. After the emperor’s death, she married to Geoffrey of Anjou in an effort to form a political alliance between England and the French Angevin county. King Henry intended Matilda to succeed him on the English throne, but when he died in 1135, the barons refused to accept her as queen and caused her cousin Stephen of Blois to be crowned.
In those days, it was not surprising that the English barons, who were mostly Normans rather than Anglo-Saxons, would refuse to accept a woman. Our essayist of the American Revolution Thomas Paine disdained King George III, and all hereditary monarchs, as no more than descendants of the chief ruffian of a restless gang. In the 12th Century, and for some time after that, kings were primarily military leaders, whose most desired attribute in the days of hand-to-hand combat was physical strength. As cunning and able as a woman might be, as Matilda and at least one of her successor queens turned out to be, she could stand little chance in battle with men. Thus, the barons had no confidence in her ability to lead an army and be an effective monarch. Nevertheless, Matilda, supported by her illegitimate half-brother Robert of Gloucester, and others sought for the next 18 years to overthrow Stephen by military force. This period is known to historians as the Anarchy, because it was not often clear who was in charge throughout England. In fact, in 1141, Matilda succeed in capturing Stephen and entered London hoping to be crowned. The Londoners, however, managed to expel her, and, Stephen’s supporters, having captured Robert, agreed to exchange him for the King. Stephen then gained the upper hand and besieged Matilda at Oxford, where, according to some accounts she managed to escape by fleeing across the snow wearing a white cape.
Even though he prevented Matilda from being crowned and achieving any semblance of power in England, Stephen was never able to consolidate his own. His only son Eustace was killed in one of the battles, and he finally was persuaded to make peace with Matilda with the Treaty of Wallingford in 1153. This treaty allowed Stephen to remain king until his death at which time her son Henry Plantagenet would have the crown, making her daughter-in-law, Eleanor of Aquitaine queen consort. That occurred the next year. After Henry II took the throne, Matilda returned to Rouen in Normandy to preside over the duchy there. She died in 1164 and her remains today lie in Rouen Cathedral on the River Seine in Normandy.

The significance for us in America nearly 900 years later might not be readily apparent, but it is there. The English colonies in North American were established nearly a century after those of Spain in Central and South America. The character of those colonies was probably quite different than it would have been if founded earlier. For one thing, they were all colonized by private persons, and generally left alone by the English, and later British, government, unlike the government sponsored and controlled colonies of Spain. Many historians believe that delay was because of the religious turmoil in Britain that Spain did not experience. That sectarian strife was in turn the result of King Henry VIII’s break with Rome over his wish to divorce his consort Catherine of Aragon because he had been unsuccessful in fathering a male heir with her. The succession to the throne had been through the senior male line, but it remained unclear if that line failed. Henry’s anxiety over not having a male heir was due to his knowledge that succession crises always had brought about civil war, the most destructive of which had been the Anarchy of Matilda’s time – well remembered, even after four centuries. One of the curious connections history is so full of.
Moreover, once the war of the American Revolution was won, it was not clear what would replace the British. Few nations in the world were republics, and democracy, in the sense of the general populace choosing their leaders, was almost universally scorned. Hereditary monarchy was the rule, even if some of those in Europe at the time had limitations on regal power. George Washington was seriously proposed to be the new king of the former colonies. The Founders, fortunately, knew their history. They certainly concurred with Thomas Paine, who pointed out that, far from achieving stability, a hereditary monarchy fostered it when the uncertainty of succession arose, which it was bound to. The Anarchy of Matilda’s time is Exhibit A to Paine’s thesis.
For more on Matilda, see:
Chibnall, Marjorie, The Empress Matilda: Queen Consort, Queen Mother, and Lady of the English (1992); ISBN 0631157379; Library of Congress Call No. DA198.6 .C48 1992

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Are We All Homer Simpson?

Walter Russell Mead writes in The American Interest:

“I can still remember the feeling I had back in the early eighties when I first began to see how low wage manufacturing in the developing world plus the globalization of finance were going to rip up the social fabric I identified with progress and stability. I see many people, some on the left, some in the center, going through that kind of moment today. My first reaction, and that of many people today, was to cling tighter to the blue model as I sensed its fragility and vulnerability. But over time I’ve come to see this breakdown and the transition to something new as the next stage in the story of social and human progress, rather that as some kind of horrible return to savagery.

“One of the realizations that helped me accept the need to move on was the corrosive effect of one of blue model America’s most unattractive features: the emphasis on consumption rather than production as the defining characteristic of the good life. As I reflected on the corrosive consequences of this shift, and also began to see that a post-blue society might reverse this priority, I began to think more positively about what could come next. Frank Fukuyama wrote about the appearance of Nietzsche’s Last Man at the end of history; that Last Man is more or less Homer Simpson come to life, a mostly passive, consumption-focused individual whose life is all episode with no plot.”

See Mead’s rather lengthy essay at this link.

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A Professor’s Predictions

At a meeting I attended last night, SMU political science professor Cal Jillson presented some interesting projections for this year’s general election. Jillson bases his prediction on historical observations and current trends as evidenced by polling. Historical data are open to interpretation and polling results are always question specific, and I am not privy to the actual polls he relies on. Therefore, I express no opinion on Jillson’s accuracy predictions other than he is an experienced academician in his field. I note that his colleague Dennis Simon was uncannily accurate in his prediction of the 2010 House of Representatives turnover ten months in advance.
Jillson stated his research and analysis suggests:
 The Texas House will lose a few Republicans but the GOP will still control.

 The Texas Senate will remain unchanged in its composition; i.e., GOP will control.
 Republican David Dewhurst will replace Kay Bailey Hutchison in the U. S. Senate.
 The U. S. House will have fewer Republicans, but they will retain control.
 The U.S. Senate will gain a GOP majority, but not a super-majority.
 Barack Obama will be re-elected, defeating Mitt Romney.

Jillson further dates these predictions are based on current trends. A dip in the economy would put Obama’s re-election in serious jeopardy.
As he put it, though, if you want to win a bet from your brother-in-law. Go with the above. At the moment, I have to agree. I would add that a serious international crisis could help or hurt Obama, depending on how he handled it. Gasoline prices that go too high will hurt the President’s chances. Adjusted for inflation, they are about what they were in the mid-1960s, but they are the most visible price for most people.
As for the prospects for the next four years, who knows. One possibility is that Obama will learn to compromise or make sure he has plenty of ink in his veto pen.
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Klingons Still At Bay?

Well, maybe the Klingons won’t make it here after all.  There appears to be some evidence that cabling in the equipment measuring the speed of neutrinos traveling from the CERN facility in Geneva to Gran Sasso, Italy might not have been properly calibrated.  If that is the case, perhaps Einstein was right. Nothing can go faster than the speed of light. Nothing conclusive, yet.  We may still get to see Prof. Al-Khalili in England eat his boxer shorts.  See WSJ today, and previous post on September 23, 2011.

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Class Divide

Washington Post Henry Allen opines that the “knowledge class” is contemptuous of the “factory class” in our country.  This notion is in line with Charles Murray’s Belmont vs. Fishtown thesis in his recent book Coming Apart.  Some of Allen’s opinion is misplaced, but there is no denying that we have a plethora of intellectuals who have lots of hypotheses but little practical experience trying to foist all manner of controls on how we lead our lives.  Knowledge is certainly the underlying basis of wealth and prosperity.  The standard of living of those who use their muscles only is the same as that of a medieval blacksmith, the rest flows from the ideas and the rational thought that puts them into practice.  But to allow the nags and busybodies to rule us establishes a new aristocracy.  No more kind than the ones of yesteryear.

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It’s About Time to be Fair

GOP hopeful Rick Santorum is not my first choice for a Presidential candidate (he or she, as the case may be, is not running this time, unfortunately), and his nomination is by no means assured. Nevertheless, in such anticipation, I have a modest observation and suggestion.
For the first 160 years or so of our Republic, Presidents have been of British (English, Scottish, Scots-Irish) or Dutch (in at least three cases) ancestry. Those of German heritage got their chance with Eisenhower in 1952, the Irish progeny in 1960, and now those of African ancestry (sub-Saharan, anyway) have had their due.
Immigrants from Italy came to the U.S. nearly as early as the Irish, and did so in significant numbers. Italian-Americans certainly did their part in making the Roman Catholic Church the largest single religious denomination in the United States. And who can help but notice that pizza has eclipsed even hot dogs as our national dish! If Santorum were to be the nominee, he should loudly and often proclaim his Italian-American heritage and identity.  Maybe he could name Godfather Herman Cain as his consiglieri, er, chief of staff.  Back in the early 1960s, the political thriller Seven Days in May, whose plot was set in the 1970s, had a Vice-President who was Italian-American. Wouldn’t you say it’s about time?
Santorum could have Marco Rubio as VP nominee, thus giving those of Spanish ancestry a leg up for a future run. Or Eric Cantor could do the same for Jewish-American. Joe Lieberman came close in 2000, but we all know that story.
All in the name of fairly sharing.